Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.192290 0.208028 0.224690 0.243685 0.264792 0.287582 0.314127
2026-01-04 0.167486 0.190319 0.216078 0.247484 0.284997 0.328692 0.383917
2026-01-11 0.150228 0.176679 0.207896 0.247856 0.298233 0.360433 0.444305
2026-01-18 0.135175 0.163123 0.197246 0.242599 0.302252 0.379433 0.489212
2026-01-25 0.122539 0.150948 0.186599 0.235458 0.302029 0.391634 0.525102
2026-02-01 0.113239 0.142016 0.179007 0.231105 0.304375 0.406632 0.565637
2026-02-08 0.104979 0.133695 0.171379 0.225726 0.304328 0.417631 0.600841
2026-02-15 0.098398 0.127077 0.165431 0.221972 0.305907 0.430659 0.640111
2026-02-22 0.094791 0.124196 0.164298 0.224787 0.317096 0.458865 0.706841
2026-03-01 0.090282 0.119739 0.160587 0.223424 0.321638 0.476877 0.758522
2026-03-08 0.085728 0.114927 0.156021 0.220354 0.323096 0.489807 0.802659
2026-03-15 0.081114 0.109766 0.150612 0.215554 0.321275 0.496900 0.836766
2026-03-22 0.079379 0.108775 0.151414 0.220641 0.336326 0.534855 0.935988
2026-03-29 0.077104 0.106873 0.150744 0.223362 0.347711 0.567768 1.031239
2026-04-05 0.074399 0.104169 0.148663 0.223593 0.354755 0.593459 1.115919
2026-04-12 0.070774 0.099882 0.143871 0.218972 0.352763 0.601826 1.164418
2026-04-19 0.067051 0.095271 0.138326 0.212705 0.347251 0.602730 1.196179
2026-04-26 0.064129 0.091771 0.134369 0.208883 0.345884 0.611626 1.247969
2026-05-03 0.061215 0.088158 0.130050 0.204157 0.342422 0.615856 1.289199
2026-05-10 0.058784 0.085207 0.126666 0.200855 0.341390 0.624971 1.344201
2026-05-17 0.057659 0.084279 0.126547 0.203331 0.351713 0.659267 1.470948
2026-05-24 0.055890 0.082240 0.124476 0.202132 0.354640 0.677726 1.558926
2026-05-31 0.053945 0.079837 0.121681 0.199432 0.354300 0.688797 1.628442